Resources positioning

Narrowing your market is how you get the customers outside it

The objection to niching down is always the same: we would be turning away everyone else. The observed effect is the opposite, and the mechanism is not the one most people assume.

·6 min read

Every founder has been told to niche down, and almost every founder has quietly declined. The reason is always the same arithmetic: our market is already small, and cutting it into a slice makes it smaller. It sounds like giving up revenue in exchange for a tidier homepage.

That arithmetic is wrong, and the reason it is wrong is the most useful positioning argument you are likely to hear this year.

When people say niche down, I think they either think: I can't talk to anyone else, or I can only sell to this market. And that's not how I observe it actually works.

Jason Cohen

What narrowing actually buys you

The first-order effect is the obvious one, and it is real:

You find this niche and you talk only to them. And because you've been so specific, you can be so compelling with things like your advertising and your homepage message and what the price is and which features you choose to build — because it's so clear who you're building for that you know how to thrill them.

Jason Cohen

Every decision that was previously a judgement call becomes an easy one. Which feature next: the one that one buyer needs. What goes in the headline: their words. What to charge: what that work is worth to them. Which integration: the one they already run. Teams that cannot decide anything are usually teams that have not decided who they are for.

But that is not the interesting part.

The second-order effect almost nobody knows

Most of us are not the ideal customer for any product, and yet we buy them — because you are so specific about what you are, the trade-offs are clear. And when the trade-offs are clear, people are more willing to accept the weaknesses.

Jason Cohen

Think about your own last five purchases. You were probably not the target buyer for most of them. You bought anyway, because you could tell exactly what the thing was for and could judge for yourself whether its compromises hurt you.

A product that describes itself broadly cannot be judged that way. "Flexible enough for any team" tells a buyer nothing about what will break, so the buyer assumes the worst and does nothing. Vagueness does not widen your market. It makes your market unable to evaluate you.

The supporting evidence is from an unrelated field and it is quietly convincing:

Products that have negative reviews that are specific about what is negative about the product have higher sales and fewer returns than other products with the same rating — because you were able to see what the weaknesses were.

Jason Cohen

Specific criticism raises sales. Not because buyers enjoy bad news, but because a legible weakness is what makes the rest of the description credible, and lets someone decide whether that particular weakness applies to them.

Which produces the conclusion that reverses the objection entirely:

If I'm very specific about what I am, then my ideal customer will definitely buy — but like a hundred times larger market than that will see that specificity as a reason to buy your set of trade-offs, even though they're not "ideal", and they buy anyway.

Jason Cohen

Narrowing the message does not narrow the market. It is the mechanism by which the wider market becomes able to say yes.

The cut that costs nothing

There are three ways to narrow, and they are not equally expensive.

Cut What it means What it costs
Horizontal Anyone with this job to do Nothing — it is where most products start, and it churns hardest
Vertical One industry: dentists, law firms, freight Real product work, eventually — they expect industry specifics
Orthogonal One role, across industries: the agency new-business lead, the AE Usually no code at all

Across a large portfolio of B2B software companies, both vertical and orthogonal positioning grow faster and churn lower than horizontal. The orthogonal cut is the one worth noticing, because it is available this afternoon: you are not changing what the product does, you are changing who the homepage is written to and which words it uses.

Same product. Same features. Same price. A different named reader — and the person who fits that description now recognises themselves, while everyone else can still see exactly what they would be buying.

The honest limits

Two things this argument does not say.

It does not say pick a tiny market. The specificity is in the message, and the segment still has to be large enough to produce your revenue goal — which is four minutes of arithmetic you should do before committing to any cut.

It does not say refuse the customers who do not fit. Nothing here requires turning anyone away. If someone outside the description wants to buy, sell to them. The narrowing is what you say, not who you cash cheques from — and the whole point is that clarity is what brought them.

Doing it this week

  1. Name one reader on the homepage. A role, not an industry, unless you already know the industry. One sentence: for the {role} who has to {the thing}.
  2. Write down the trade-offs you actually make — what you are worse at than the obvious alternative — and put the important one somewhere a buyer will see it. This is the counterintuitive move and it is the one that works.
  3. Check the arithmetic before you commit. Number of companies, share you could reach, what they pay. If it cannot reach your goal, narrow differently.
  4. Change nothing in the product for ninety days. The orthogonal cut is a writing exercise. If it needs a roadmap, you have picked a vertical instead, and that is a bigger decision than a homepage.
  5. Measure reply rate, not applause. The signal that the cut worked is that the named reader answers cold email at a different rate than before.

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